Obesity

Joint and Independent Associations of Gestational Diabetes and Depression With Childhood Obesity

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this cohort study, both prenatal depression and gestational diabetes were associated with childhood obesity risk, with larger effect sizes observed for gestational diabetes. Children exposed to both conditions had the greatest risk, although associations appeared additive rather than synergistic. These findings underscore the need for universal prenatal screening and risk stratification, along with targeted interventions for children exposed to these conditions.

Study context

Population
Birthing parent-child pairs, births 2011–2021, Kaiser Permanente Northern California; children followed to age 10 years; mean (SD) parental age at delivery 30.8 (5.3) years; 104,214 male children (51.3%)
Participants
203,333 parent-child pairs
Exposure
Prenatal depression and GDM, separately and jointly, vs neither exposure
Outcome
Childhood obesity: CDC BMI z score ≥95th percentile by child age
Follow-up
Ages 2.0–4.9, 5.0–7.9 and 8.0–10.0 years
Methodological detailsintegrated health care system, universal prenatal screening
  • Integrated health care system
  • Universal prenatal screening

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Childhood obesity
Each group vs neither exposureRelative risk (95% CI)P value
Prenatal depressionage 2.0-4.9 years
1.07(1.04–1.10)
Prenatal depressionage 5.0-7.9 years
1.08(1.04–1.12)
Prenatal depressionage 8.0-10.0 years
1.05(1.00–1.11)
GDMage 2.0-4.9 years
1.29(1.25–1.34)
GDMage 5.0-7.9 years
1.45(1.40–1.51)
GDMage 8.0-10.0 years
1.39(1.31–1.46)
GDM + depressionage 2.0-4.9 years
1.33(1.23–1.44)
GDM + depressionage 5.0-7.9 years
1.54(1.41–1.69)
GDM + depressionage 8.0-10.0 years; no evidence of interaction
1.43(1.25–1.64)
P > 0.10for interaction

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Childhood obesity rate by child age (whole cohort)

Age 2.0 to 4.9 years
14.6% (29 198 of 199 329)
Age 5.0 to 7.9 years
16.5% (19 155 of 116 398)
Age 8.0 to 10.0 years
21.8% (9798 of 44 894)

Joint exposure, further adjusted for prepregnancy BMI

Joint results attenuated; association for 5.0 to 7.9 years remained especially robust

Original publication

Joint and Independent Associations of Gestational Diabetes and Depression With Childhood Obesity. JAMA Netw Open. Published 2 February 2026. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.59344

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