Obesity

Cardiometabolic Parameter Change by Weight Regain on Tirzepatide Withdrawal in Adults With Obesity: A Post Hoc Analysis of the SURMOUNT-4 Trial

JAMA Intern MedPublished Post hoc analysis of the SURMOUNT-4 randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

In this post hoc analysis of the SURMOUNT-4 trial, among participants with obesity who achieved weight reduction with 36-week tirzepatide treatment, withdrawing tirzepatide led to 25% or greater weight regain in most participants within 1 year and was associated with a greater reversal of their initial cardiometabolic parameter improvements compared with those who maintained weight reduction. These findings underscore the importance of continued obesity treatment.

Study context

Population
Adults with obesity with ≥10% weight reduction after 36 wk of tirzepatide (10 or 15 mg), randomized to switch to placebo for 52 wk; 71.1% female, mean (SD) age 47.1 (12.2) y
Participants
308 adults
Comparison
Cardiometabolic changes after tirzepatide withdrawal by degree of weight regain (<25%, 25% to <50%, 50% to <75%, ≥75%)
  • <25%n = 54
  • 25% to <50%n = 77
  • 50% to <75%n = 103
  • ≥75%n = 74
Primary endpoint
Change in cardiometabolic parameters on tirzepatide withdrawal by degree of weight regain (as % of weight lost wk 0–36)
Follow-up
Week 36 to week 88
Methodological detailsData collected March 2021 to May 2023; analysed February 2024 to March 2025
  • Data collected March 2021 to May 2023; analysed February 2024 to March 2025

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Waist circumference change

<25%

0.8

mean · 95% CI −1.0–2.6 · cm

25% to <50%

5.4

mean · 95% CI 4.0–6.8 · cm

50% to <75%

10.1

mean · 95% CI 8.9–11.3 · cm

≥75%

14.7

mean · 95% CI 12.7–16.7 · cm

P < 0.001

Further findings

Systolic BP change · week 36 to week 88 — between <25% and ≥75% · across weight regain categories

P = 0.002

Outcome<25%25% to <50%50% to <75%≥75%P value
Non-HDL cholesterol change · week 36 to week 88−0.4% (95% CI −7.3–6.5)1.6% (95% CI −2.3–5.5)8.4% (95% CI 3.9–12.9)10.8% (95% CI 5.3–16.3)
HbA1c change · week 36 to week 88Between <25% and ≥75% · across weight regain categories0.14% (95% CI 0.06–0.22)0.15% (95% CI 0.09–0.21)0.27% (95% CI 0.21–0.33)0.35% (95% CI 0.29–0.41)P < 0.001
Fasting insulin change · week 36 to week 88−4.0% (95% CI −20.7–12.7)15.4% (95% CI 2.3–28.5)46.2% (95% CI 29.5–62.9)26.3% (95% CI 9.6–43.0)

<25% weight regain: week 88 vs week 36

Waist circumference, non-HDL cholesterol and fasting insulin not significantly different from week 36

Original publication

Cardiometabolic Parameter Change by Weight Regain on Tirzepatide Withdrawal in Adults With Obesity: A Post Hoc Analysis of the SURMOUNT-4 Trial. JAMA Intern Med. Published 1 February 2026. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2025.6112

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