Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Interpretable machine learning analysis of immunoinflammatory biomarkers for predicting Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) among Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) patients

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Six immunoinflammatory markers demonstrated significant associations with CHD risk in NAFLD populations, among which the NHR index exhibited particularly promising predictive potential.

Study context

Population
NAFLD patients undergoing coronary angiography282 after propensity score matching (PSM)
Participants
407 patients
Exposure
NAFLD + CHD vs NAFLD without CHD
  • NAFLD + CHDn = 250
  • NAFLDn = 157reference
Outcome
Risk factors for CHD in NAFLD (multivariate logistic regression, adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, smoking history)
Methodological detailspropensity-score matched, Lasso regression, interpretable machine learning (RF, SVM, GLM; SHAP)
  • Propensity-score matched
  • Lasso regression
  • Interpretable machine learning (RF, SVM, GLM; SHAP)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

NHR index, most significant risk factor for CHD: OR

1.375

95% CI 1.021–1.852P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Other independent risk/protective factors for CHD

NLR, SII, SIRI and NMR were also identified as risk factors
PNR was a protective factor for CHD events in NAFLD

Restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis: shape of relationship with CHD occurrence

SII non-linear J-shaped relationship with CHD risk, non-linear P
0.025
Linear relationships of NHR, NLR and PNR with CHD occurrence

Correlation of NHR with Gensini score (CHD severity)

NHR had the highest correlation with CHD severity, R
0.256
P
P < 0.001

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Interpretable machine learning analysis of immunoinflammatory biomarkers for predicting CHD among NAFLD patients. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 3 July 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02818-1

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