Interplay of glycated hemoglobin and traditional risk factors for the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in people without diabetes

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies

Authors' conclusion

HbA1c testing in individuals without diabetes may help identify those at higher risk for ASCVD and mortality, even at the extremes of CVRF burden.

Study context

Population
US adults free of diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) with hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) data; mean age 57.1 (SD 9.1) years, 56.2% women, 21.9% Blackpooled CARDIA, MESA, ARIC, FOS cohorts
Participants
20,360 adults
Comparison
HbA1c categories vs 5.0-5.4%, across cardiovascular risk factor (CVRF) burden
Outcome
ASCVD and all-cause mortality
Follow-up
median 16.7-year follow-up
Methodological detailsmultivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, CARDIA, MESA, ARIC and FOS cohorts
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression
  • CARDIA, MESA, ARIC and FOS cohorts

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

ASCVD
Each group vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%Hazard ratio (95% CI)
HbA1c 5.5-5.9%
1.17(1.09–1.26)
HbA1c 6.0-6.4%
1.59(1.42–1.78)
ASCVD events during follow-up
3592 (17.6%)

Further pooled results

OutcomeHR
All-cause mortality · median 16.7-year follow-upHbA1c 5.5-5.9%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.14 (95% CI 1.07–1.20)
All-cause mortality · median 16.7-year follow-upHbA1c 6.0-6.4%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.35 (95% CI 1.24–1.47)
All-cause mortality · median 16.7-year follow-upHbA1c < 5.0%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.17 (95% CI 1.07–1.28)
ASCVD, subgroup with 0 CVRFsHbA1c 5.5-5.9%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.26 (CI 1.02–1.55)
ASCVD, subgroup with 0 CVRFsHbA1c 6.0-6.4%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.68 (CI 1.12–2.54)
ASCVD, subgroup with 3 CVRFsHbA1c 5.5-5.9%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%1.22 (CI 0.88–1.69)
ASCVD, subgroup with 3 CVRFsHbA1c 6.0-6.4%vs HbA1c 5.0-5.4%2.00 (CI 1.35–2.97)
OutcomeP value
Mortality with HbA1c ≥ 5.5%, by raceNon-Black vs BlackP for interaction < 0.001
All-cause mortality — Deaths during follow-up
6627 (32.6%)

ASCVD, subgroup with 3 CVRFs

Similar findings for all-cause mortality across CVRF extremes

Mortality with HbA1c ≥ 5.5%, by race

Increased mortality risk in non-Black individuals; not significant in Black individuals

Original publication

Interplay of glycated hemoglobin and traditional risk factors for the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in people without diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 24 October 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02968-2

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.