Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Integrating histology and biomarkers to predict clinical outcomes in parathyroid tumors: a multicenter study

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The composite histology-biomarker risk score was linearly associated with biochemical severity and postoperative outcomes, offering a practical tool to refine risk stratification beyond histological classification.

Study context

Population
Patients with PHPT caused by typical adenoma (TA), atypical parathyroid tumor (APT) or nonmetastatic parathyroid carcinoma (PC), diagnosed 2000–2021 in three tertiary hospitals; 64.7% women, mean age 58.3 ± 13.6 yearsanalysed
Participants
139 patients
Exposure
Composite histology-biomarker risk score vs postoperative outcomes
  • TAn = 90
  • APTn = 20
  • PCn = 29
Outcome
Postoperative outcomes by composite risk score
Methodological detailsmulticenter, three tertiary hospitals, Score: one point each for atypical/malignant histology, loss of parafibromin, Ki-67 ≥ 3%, positive galectin-3 or PGP9.5 expression
  • Multicenter
  • Three tertiary hospitals
  • Score: one point each for atypical/malignant histology, loss of parafibromin, Ki-67 ≥ 3%, positive galectin-3 or PGP9.5 expression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Postoperative hypocalcemia, score 0 to scores ≥ 4

0% to 53%

Persistent hyperparathyroidism, from lowest to highest score (P < .01)

6% to 45%

Postoperative hypocalcemia per one-point score increase, OR (adjusted for age, sex, CKD, surgical extent)

2.00

Persistent hyperparathyroidism per one-point score increase, OR (adjusted for age, sex, CKD, surgical extent)

1.87

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Preoperative parathyroid hormone (PTH) and calcium levels by risk score

Increased progressively with the risk score (P < .001)

Model discrimination

AUC (ROC)
0.78-0.81
Calibration stable

Original publication

Integrating histology and biomarkers to predict clinical outcomes in parathyroid tumors: a multicenter study. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 20 November 2025. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvaf240

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