Diabetes complications

Insulin resistance mediates the association between adiposity markers and incident chronic kidney disease: Findings from the UK Biobank prospective cohort study

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elevated WHR was linked to increased risks of CKD and ESKD. The mediating effect of IR indexes between WHR and CKD was more significant than BMI.

Study context

Population
Adults without baseline chronic kidney disease (CKD), UK Biobank
Participants
398,307 adults
Exposure
High vs lower waist circumference and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR); Insulin resistance (IR) indices as mediators
Outcome
Incident CKD and ESKD
Follow-up
13.62 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, Cox regression, mediation analysis
  • UK Biobank
  • Cox regression
  • Mediation analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident CKD and ESKD with high waist circumference and WHR (BMI-adjusted)
CKD cases
17,583 (3.37 per 1000 person-years)
End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) cases
1,509 (0.29 per 1000 person-years)
High waist circumference, CKD: HR
1.23 (1.19-1.27) (95% CI)
High WHR, CKD: HR
1.17 (1.12-1.22) (95% CI)
High waist circumference, ESKD: HR
1.37 (1.22-1.54) (95% CI)
High WHR, ESKD: HR
1.39 (1.29-1.49) (95% CI)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Mediation: proportion of TyG index–CKD association accounted for by BMI, waist circumference, WHR

%

BMI
12
Waist circumference
44.4
WHR
23.8

Mediation: proportion of TG/HDL-C ratio–CKD association accounted for by BMI, waist circumference, WHR

%

BMI
7.4
Waist circumference
26.7
WHR
13.9

Original publication

Insulin resistance mediates the association between adiposity markers and incident chronic kidney disease: Findings from the UK Biobank prospective cohort study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 15 May 2025. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112255

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