Obesity

Impact of overweight and obesity on fasting insulin secretion in men and women without diabetes: effect sizes and mechanisms

DiabetologiaPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The effect of body mass on insulin secretion is continuous, more pronounced in men, driven by fat mass and waist, sustained by hyperglycaemia and by an upregulation of beta cell insulin secretion and is only partially explained by typical hormonal and metabolic consequences of obesity. We suggest that hepatic glucose overproduction contributes to the fasting hyperinsulinaemia observed in individuals with obesity.

Study context

Population
Healthy adults without diabetes aged 30–60 years, BMI 18.5–40.0 kg/m², EGIR-RISC cohort547 men · 703 women
Participants
1,250 adults
Outcome
Fasting insulin secretion (FIS)
Methodological detailsEGIR-RISC cohort, 3.5-year follow-up, multivariable regression
  • EGIR-RISC cohort
  • 3.5-year follow-up
  • Multivariable regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adiposity indices as predictors of FIS

Fat mass, standardised β coefficient

0.27

p<0.0001

Waist circumference, standardised β coefficient

0.21

p<0.0001

Insulin secretion increase across BMI deciles

2.4-fold

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Change in fasting glucose with weight change · 3.5-year follow-up

Weight gain (∆ weight +5.1 ± 3.8 kg): increase in fasting insulin secretion (FIS); fasting glucose change
+0.20 ± 0.63 mmol/l, p<0.03
Weight loss (−4.7 ± 2.8 kg): reduction in FIS; fasting glucose change
+0.06 ± 0.55 mmol/l, p<0.006

Change in ISR@5 with weight change · 3.5-year follow-up

Weight losers
−0.17 ± 1.9 U/h, p<0.002
Stable weight
−0.16 ± 1.0 U/h, p<0.002
Weight gainers (no decline)
−0.06 ± 1.1 U/h

Mechanisms

Peripheral insulin resistance, plasma NEFA and leptin accounted for only part of obesity's effect on insulin secretion
Endogenous glucose production (EGP) subset: rightwards shift in dose-response across fat mass quintiles, progressive hepatic glucose overproduction despite preserved hepatic insulin response
  • EGP measured in subset of 368

Original publication

Impact of overweight and obesity on fasting insulin secretion in men and women without diabetes: effect sizes and mechanisms. Diabetologia. Published 18 December 2025. doi:10.1007/s00125-025-06643-9

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