Type 1 diabetes

HLA-focused type 1 diabetes genetic risk prediction in populations of diverse ancestry

DiabetologiaPublished Genetic risk prediction study

Authors' conclusion

T1D GRSHLA models derived from SNPs performed equivalently to those derived from HLA alleles across ancestries. In addition, T1D GRSHLA-SNP-ALL and GRSHLA-allele-ALL models had consistently high ROC AUC values when applied across ancestry groups. Larger studies in more diverse populations are needed to better assess the transferability of T1D GRSHLA across ancestries.

Study context

Population
Samples from four ancestry groups (admixed African, admixed American, European, Finnish); 13,695 SNPs in the HLA region genotyped
Participants
41,689 samples
Comparison
HLA-focused T1D GRS models derived from SNPs vs HLA alleles, across four ancestry groups and across-ancestry
Outcome
Performance of each T1D GRSHLA model by ROC AUC
Methodological detailsmulti-ancestry, HLA imputation (HLA-TAPAS multi-ethnic reference panel)
  • Multi-ancestry
  • HLA imputation (HLA-TAPAS multi-ethnic reference panel)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

ROC AUC of T1D GRSHLA models across ancestries

ROC AUC for GRSHLA from SNPs or HLA alleles similar; range from GRSHLA-allele-AMR applied to FIN to GRSHLA-allele-EUR applied to EUR

0.73 to 0.88

GRSHLA-SNP-ALL ROC AUC across all ancestry groups

0.82 to 0.88

GRSHLA-allele-ALL ROC AUC across all ancestry groups

0.80 to 0.87

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

HLA-focused type 1 diabetes genetic risk prediction in populations of diverse ancestry. Diabetologia. Published 2 October 2025. doi:10.1007/s00125-025-06563-8

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