Type 2 & other diabetes

High body mass index within the normal weight range and risk of type 2 diabetes and hypertension in US and Europe: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

Pooled result · T2DResult — go to the resultRelative risk 1.78 95% CI 1.30–2.45

Authors' conclusion

Compared with lower normal weight BMI values, higher BMI within the normal range was associated with a higher risk of T2D and hypertension, suggesting that current BMI classifications may not fully capture the increased risk among individuals at the upper end of the normal weight spectrum.

Study context

Population
Cohort studies from the US and Europe (Asian studies excluded) reporting risk of T2D or hypertension by body mass index (BMI) within the normal weight range11 cohort studies
Comparison
High normal weight BMI vs lower normal weight BMI
Outcome
Risk of T2D or hypertension
Methodological detailsrandom-effects meta-analysis, PubMed and Scopus searched, updated PubMed search through October 2025
  • Random-effects meta-analysis
  • PubMed and Scopus searched, updated PubMed search through October 2025

Pooled result

T2D

Relative risk

1.78

95% CI 1.30–2.45

High normal weight BMIvs Lower normal weight BMI
RR 1.78 (95% CI 1.30–2.45)

As reported in the abstract

Further pooled results

Hypertension (3 US cohort studies; n = 3 studies with 129,046 participants and 22,254 cases)

Hypertension, high vs lower normal weight BMI: RR
1.42
95% CI
1.33-1.51
I2
0
  • Low certainty evidence
  • Evidence for hypertension was limited

Original publication

High body mass index within the normal weight range and risk of type 2 diabetes and hypertension in US and Europe: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 12 August 2026. doi:10.1038/s41366-026-02183-3

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