Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Fragility of Evidence for the Efficacy of Anti-Fracture Medications

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Meta-research study

Authors' conclusion

The existing RCT evidence of anti-fracture efficacy is highly fragile. The FI, its comparison with loss to follow-up and FQ should be incorporated into clinical guideline development and doctor-patient risk communication.

Study context

Population
Phase 3/4 randomized controlled trial (RCTs) in high-impact medical journals assessing anti-fracture efficacy, 1:1 allocation to pharmacological intervention or control, with a statistically significant result
Participants
27 RCTs
Outcome
Fragility Index
Methodological detailsretrospective analysis of RCTs, phase 3/4 RCTs, 1:1 allocation, high-impact medical journals
  • Retrospective analysis of RCTs
  • Phase 3/4 RCTs
  • 1:1 allocation
  • High-impact medical journals

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Median Fragility Index (FI) (IQR: 4, 19)

9

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Loss to follow-up exceeding FI

Analyses in which number lost to follow-up exceeded the FI
60%

FI by medication

Romosozumab, FI (IQR: 7.0, 31.5); most robust
19.5
Denosumab, FI (IQR 3, 17); least robust
4
Calcium/vitamin D supplementation, FI (IQR 2.3, 16.8); least robust
7.0

FI by result characteristics

Fractures as primary endpoint, FI (IQR 11, 33)
14
P value < .001, FI (IQR 18, 42)
26

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Fragility of Evidence for the Efficacy of Anti-Fracture Medications. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 9 June 2025. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgaf332

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