Obesity

Evaluating population attributable fractions of cardiovascular diseases in relation to 20-year body mass index; the ATTICA study (2002–2022)

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Prospective population-based cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Future public health actions should not neglect to also include people with overweight for the effective management of body weight, which can offer significant long-term benefits for cardiovascular health. A graphical representation of the main study findings on population prevented and attributable fractions by long-term body weight status (n = 1348); the ATTICA study (2002-2022). CVD cardiovascular disease.

Study context

Population
Adults initially free of CVD from the ATTICA cohort study; mean age 39 (SD 10) years, 48% males
Participants
1,348 adults
Exposure
Long-term body weight status and CVD
Outcome
PAF and PFP of combined fatal/non-fatal CVD cases by body weight trajectories
Follow-up
2002–2022
Methodological details20-year follow-up (2002–2022)
  • 20-year follow-up (2002–2022)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Combined fatal/non-fatal CVD cases prevented or attributable by body weight status

CVD cases prevented by maintaining normal body weight (prevented fraction for the population (PFP))

29%

95% CI 22%, 35%

CVD cases prevented if increased BMI (>25 kg/m²) eliminated

30%

8.7%, 38%

CVD cases prevented if overweight managed

23%

5.1%, 29%

CVD cases prevented if obesity managed

7.2%

1.1%, 9.1%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Population attributable fraction (PAFs) and PFPs by subgroup

Variations of PAFs and PFPs by sex, age group, Mediterranean diet adherence, physical activity, comorbidities and anxiety trajectories

Original publication

Evaluating population attributable fractions of cardiovascular diseases in relation to 20-year body mass index; the ATTICA study (2002–2022). Int J Obes (Lond). Published 6 May 2025. doi:10.1038/s41366-025-01796-4

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