Type 2 & other diabetes

Epidemiology and Prognostic Implications of Coronary Artery Calcium in Asymptomatic Individuals With Prediabetes: A Multicohort Study

Diabetes CarePublished Pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies

Authors' conclusion

CAC ≥100 is frequent among individuals with prediabetes and identifies a high ASCVD risk subgroup in which the adjusted ASCVD risk is similar to that in individuals with diabetes.

Study context

Population
Participants free of clinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) from MESA, Heinz Nixdorf Recall, Framingham Heart and Jackson Heart studies; mean age 58 years, 54% women, 57% White, 27% Black
Participants
13,376 participants4 cohorts
Comparison
Prediabetes by coronary artery calcium (CAC) category and diabetes vs euglycemia
Outcome
Incident ASCVD
Follow-up
Median 14.6 (IQR 7.8-16.4) years
Methodological detailsmulticohort, four prospective cohorts
  • Multicohort
  • Four prospective cohorts

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

ASCVD, adjusted (inclusive prediabetes definition)
Each group vs euglycemiaHazard ratio (95% CI)
Prediabetes and CAC 0
0.79(0.62–1.01)
Prediabetes and CAC 1-99
0.70(0.54–0.89)
Prediabetes and CAC ≥100
1.54(1.27–1.88)
Diabetes
1.64(1.39–1.93)

Further pooled results

OutcomeValuesHR (CI)
ASCVD, adjusted (restrictive prediabetes definition: FPG ≥110 to <126 mg/dL)Prediabetes and CAC ≥100vs Euglycemia1.63 (1.29–2.06)
OutcomeValues
CAC ≥100 prevalence · baselineEuglycemia 17% · Prediabetes 22% · Diabetes 37%
Unadjusted 10-year ASCVD incidencePrediabetes and CAC ≥100 13.4% · Diabetes 10.6%

Original publication

Epidemiology and Prognostic Implications of Coronary Artery Calcium in Asymptomatic Individuals With Prediabetes: A Multicohort Study. Diabetes Care. Published 8 February 2024. doi:10.2337/dc23-1864

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