Type 1 diabetes

Echocardiography and inflammatory biomarkers for predicting mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events in type 1 diabetes

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Echocardiography combined with inflammatory biomarkers synergistically identifies individuals with type 1 diabetes, without known cardiovascular disease, who are at high risk of mortality and MACE.

Study context

Population
Individuals with T1D without known CVD; 51% male, median age 50 years114 deaths
Participants
876 individuals
Exposure
Subclinical LV dysfunction (E/e' or global longitudinal strain (GLS)) combined with elevated inflammatory biomarker (IL-6, suPAR or hsCRP) vs E/e' <8 and non-elevated biomarker
Outcome
All-cause mortality and MACE
Follow-up
14.5 years
Methodological detailsCox models adjusted for the 10 Steno T1 Risk Engine variables, C-statistics and net reclassification improvement
  • Cox models adjusted for the 10 Steno T1 Risk Engine variables
  • C-statistics and net reclassification improvement

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause mortality
Adjusted for Steno T1 Risk Engine variables
Each group vs E/e' <8, non-elevated IL-6Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
E/e' 8-13, elevated IL-6
2.5(1.4–4.6)
P < 0.01
E/e' ≥13, elevated IL-6
3.4(1.5–7.6)
P < 0.01
Deaths
114
Corresponding HRs for suPAR
2.4 (1.2 to 4.7, P < 0.01) and 3.9 (1.8 to 8.5, P < 0.01)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

C-statistic for mortality

Steno T1 Risk Engine alone
0.839
+ E/e' and IL6
0.887
+ E/e' and suPAR
0.868

GLS and MACE

Findings were similar for GLS and with MACE as the outcome

Original publication

Echocardiography and inflammatory biomarkers for predicting mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events in type 1 diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 3 February 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-03071-2

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