Endocrine oncology

Discriminating Interpatient Variabilities of RAS Gene Variants for Precision Detection of Thyroid Cancer

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

This diagnostic study delineated interpatient differences in RAS variants present in thyroid tumors with a variety of histopathological diagnoses. Discrimination of interpatient variabilities in RAS in combination with BRAF V600E and TERT promoter variants could facilitate cytology examinations in preoperative precision malignancy diagnosis among patients with thyroid nodules.

Study context

Population
Patients with thyroid nodules; surgically resected thyroid tumors (2016–2022) and residual thyroid fine-needle aspiration (FNA) biopsies (2020–2021), Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto; 75.8% female, mean age 50.7 years438 tumors
Participants
620 patients249 FNAs
Comparison
BRAF V600E + TERT promoter variant assays with vs without RAS variants
Outcome
Malignancy rates, sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of RAS, BRAF V600E and TERT promoter variants vs surgical histopathologic diagnoses
Methodological detailsprospective, single-centre
  • Prospective
  • Single-centre

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Distinguishing malignant neoplasms from benign and NIFTP tumors
Test or modelSensitivitySpecificity
BRAF + TERT
54.2% (95% CI, 48.8%-59.4%)Sensitivity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent
100% (95% CI, 94.8%-100%)Specificity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent
RAS + BRAF + TERT
70.5% (95% CI, 65.4%-75.2%)Sensitivity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent
88.8% (95% CI, 79.8%-94.1%)Specificity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent

Sensitivity

BRAF + TERT54.2% (95% CI, 48.8%-59.4%)
RAS + BRAF + TERT70.5% (95% CI, 65.4%-75.2%)
Sensitivity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent

Specificity

BRAF + TERT100% (95% CI, 94.8%-100%)
RAS + BRAF + TERT88.8% (95% CI, 79.8%-94.1%)
Specificity on a scale from 0 to 100 percent

Further findings

OutcomeValuesP value
Mean (SD) VAF of RAS variants by histologyBetween Benign and NIFTP · no significant differences among benign, NIFTP and malignantBenign mean 39.2% (SD 11.2%) · NIFTP mean 25.4% (SD 14.3%) · Malignant mean 33.4% (SD 13.8%)P = 0.28
Neoplasms at low risk of tumor recurrenceRAS variants vs RAS negativeRAS variants 60.7% · RAS negative 26.9%P < 0.001
Mean (SD) VAF of RAS variants by histology — RAS variant distribution: NIFTPs vs invasive encapsulated follicular variant PTC
41.7% vs 50.7%; P < .001

RAS variants in tumors

Any RAS variant
89 (20.3%)
NRAS
51 (11.6%)
HRAS
29 (6.6%)
KRAS
9 (2.1%)
VAF range
0.15% to 51.53%

5 gene variants detected in FNAs

Indeterminate FNAs
54 of 126 (42.9%)
Nondiagnostic FNAs
18 of 76 (23.7%)
All tumors with follow-up surgical pathology confirmed malignancy
  • Median (IQR) follow-up 88 (50-156) days

Original publication

Discriminating Interpatient Variabilities of RAS Gene Variants for Precision Detection of Thyroid Cancer. JAMA Netw Open. Published 1 May 2024. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.11919

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