Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Deep learning-based identification of vertebral fracture and osteoporosis in lateral spine radiographs and DXA vertebral fracture assessment to predict incident fracture

J Bone Miner ResPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

In summary, DL-detected pVF and osteoporosis in lateral spine radiographs and DXA VFA images enhanced fracture risk prediction in older adults.

Study context

Population
Older adults; 26,299 lateral spine radiographs from 9276 individuals attending a tertiary-level institution, and a DXA vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) dataset26,299 radiographs
Participants
9,276 adults
Comparison
Deep learning (DL) detection of prevalent vertebral fracture and osteoporosis in lateral spine radiographs (VERTE-X) and DXA VFA images (KURE)
  • VERTE-Xn = 9,276
Outcome
AUROC of DL models to detect prevalent vertebral fracture (pVF) and osteoporosis
Methodological detailsdeep learning model development and external fine-tuning, train/validation/test split
  • Deep learning model development and external fine-tuning
  • Train/validation/test split

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AUROC for DL detection of pVF and osteoporosis
Test or modelAUC prevalent vertebral fracture (pVF)AUC osteoporosis
VERTE-X0.926 (95% CI 0.908-0.955)0.848 (95% CI 0.827-0.869)
KURE0.924 (95% CI 0.905-0.942)0.867 (95% CI 0.853-0.881)

AUC prevalent vertebral fracture (pVF)

VERTE-X0.926 (95% CI 0.908-0.955)
KURE0.924 (95% CI 0.905-0.942)

AUC osteoporosis

VERTE-X0.848 (95% CI 0.827-0.869)
KURE0.867 (95% CI 0.853-0.881)

Further findings

Incident fracture · median follow-up 5.4 years (VERTE-X) and 6.4 years (KURE)

Incident fracture risk with DL-detected vertebral fracture

HR (95% CI)
DL-detected vertebral fracture (VERTE-X)3.23 (2.51–5.17)
DL-detected vertebral fracture (KURE)2.11 (1.62–2.74)

Incident fracture risk with DL-detected osteoporosis

HR (95% CI)
DL-detected osteoporosis (VERTE-X)2.62 (1.90–3.63)
DL-detected osteoporosis (KURE)2.14 (1.72–2.66)
  • Incident fracture risk with DL-detected vertebral fracture: remained significant after adjustment for clinical risk factors and femoral neck BMD
  • Incident fracture risk with DL-detected osteoporosis: remained significant after adjustment for clinical risk factors and femoral neck BMD

Incident fracture discrimination

DL scores improved incident fracture discrimination and net benefit when combined with clinical risk factors

Original publication

Deep learning-based identification of vertebral fracture and osteoporosis in lateral spine radiographs and DXA vertebral fracture assessment to predict incident fracture. J Bone Miner Res. Published 1 April 2025. doi:10.1093/jbmr/zjaf050

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