Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Conventional chest computed tomography-based radiomics for predicting the risk of thoracolumbar osteoporotic vertebral fractures

Osteoporos IntPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

Radiomics analysis based on conventional chest CT can provide valuable information for predicting thoracolumbar OVFs.

Study context

Population
Patients who underwent conventional chest CT, including patients with thoracolumbar osteoporotic vertebral fractures198 with thoracolumbar osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs)
Participants
494 patients
Comparison
Chest CT radiomics models (trabecular, cortical-appendicular, mixed radiomics features (RFs), RAD score) vs lumbar bone mineral density (BMD) for predicting thoracolumbar OVFs
Outcome
Prediction of thoracolumbar OVFs, evaluated by AUC
Methodological detailsretrospective, training and validation sets, radiomics, Training set 1 (n = 334) and validation set 1 (n = 160)
  • Retrospective
  • Training and validation sets
  • Radiomics
  • Training set 1 (n = 334) and validation set 1 (n = 160)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AUC for predicting thoracolumbar OVFs, RAD score models by vertebral combination
Test or modelAUC
RAD score top 3 (T5 + T8 + T10)0.813
RAD score T7-T120.780
RAD score T1-T60.772

AUC

RAD score top 3 (T5 + T8 + T10)0.813
RAD score T7-T120.780
RAD score T1-T60.772
  • RAD score top 3 (T5 + T8 + T10) vs RAD score T7-T12: P = 0.02
  • RAD score top 3 (T5 + T8 + T10) vs RAD score T1-T6: P = 0.062

Further findings

OutcomeBMDP value
AUC vs lumbar BMD, before age adjustmentSlightly superior, not statistically significantP > 0.05
AUC0.736
AUC vs lumbar BMD, after age adjustmentComparableP > 0.05
AUC0.785
  • AUC vs lumbar BMD, before age adjustment: RAD score models AUC 0.774-0.807
  • AUC vs lumbar BMD, before age adjustment: RAD score + BMD models AUC 0.771-0.800
  • AUC vs lumbar BMD, before age adjustment: subset with BMD data: training set 2 n = 199, validation set 2 n = 88
  • AUC vs lumbar BMD, after age adjustment: RAD score models AUC 0.784-0.804

Original publication

Conventional chest computed tomography-based radiomics for predicting the risk of thoracolumbar osteoporotic vertebral fractures. Osteoporos Int. Published 27 March 2025. doi:10.1007/s00198-024-07338-4

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