Diabetes complications

A comparison of the effects of tirzepatide and dulaglutide on major kidney events in people with type 2 diabetes: pre-specified exploratory analyses of the SURPASS-CVOT trial

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Pre-specified exploratory analysis of the SURPASS-CVOT randomised trial

Primary result · Primary composite kidney outcome, overall populationResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.77 95% CI 0.68–0.88

Authors' conclusion

Among people with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, tirzepatide was associated with a reduced risk of major kidney events compared with dulaglutide, primarily driven by a reduction in new-onset macroalbuminuria in people with low-to-moderate-risk chronic kidney disease, and slowed decline in kidney function in people with high-risk chronic kidney disease.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥40 years with T2D and atherosclerotic CVD, HbA1c 7%–10.5%, BMI ≥25 kg/m²; 640 sites in 30 countries134 randomised in error excluded
Participants
13,299 adults
Comparison
Tirzepatide vs dulaglutide
  • Tirzepatiden = 6,586
  • Dulaglutiden = 6,579reference
Primary endpoint
Primary composite kidney outcome:
  • Time to first persistent macroalbuminuria
  • Persistent eGFR reduction ≥50%
  • End-stage kidney disease (eGFR <15 mL/min per 1.73 m² or chronic kidney replacement therapy)
  • Death from kidney disease
Follow-up
Median 4.0 (IQR 3.7-4.4) years
Methodological detailsactive comparator-controlled, double-blind, multicentre (640 sites, 30 countries), 1:1 allocation, Enrolled May 29, 2020 – June 27, 2022; 16 979 screened, 13 299 randomised (2948 with high-risk CKD)
  • Active comparator-controlled
  • Double-blind
  • Multicentre (640 sites, 30 countries)
  • 1:1 allocation
  • Enrolled May 29, 2020 – June 27, 2022; 16 979 screened, 13 299 randomised (2948 with high-risk CKD)

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Primary composite kidney outcome, overall population · median follow-up 4.0 years

Hazard ratio

0.77

95% CI 0.68–0.88

P = 0.0002

Events by treatment group

Tirzepatidevs Dulaglutide
HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.68–0.88); P = 0.0002

Further findings

OutcomeTirzepatideDulaglutideHRP value
Primary composite kidney outcome, low-to-moderate-risk CKD4.0%5.6%0.70 (CI 0.58–0.84)P = 0.0001
Primary composite kidney outcome, high-risk CKD12.2%14.5%0.79 (95% CI 0.64–0.96)P = 0.018
OutcomeBetween-group difference, mL/min per 1.73 m²P value
Annual rate of eGFR decline, overall population (lower with tirzepatide)0.29 (95% CI 0.17–0.41)P < 0.0001
Annual rate of eGFR decline, high-risk CKD (lower with tirzepatide)0.93 (CI 0.65–1.22)P < 0.0001

Primary composite kidney outcome, low-to-moderate-risk CKD

Primarily driven by lower rate of new-onset persistent macroalbuminuria

Primary composite kidney outcome, high-risk CKD

Primarily driven by lower rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline

Other subgroups

Observations were consistent in all other subgroups examined

Safety

Gastrointestinal adverse events

Nausea, vomiting and diarrhoea were all more common with tirzepatide than dulaglutide

Original publication

A comparison of the effects of tirzepatide and dulaglutide on major kidney events in people with type 2 diabetes: pre-specified exploratory analyses of the SURPASS-CVOT trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published 11 May 2026. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(26)00032-x

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