Type 2 & other diabetes

Circulating long non-coding RNAs as predictors of type 2 diabetes mellitus development: results from the CORDIOPREV study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Circulating lncRNAs, particularly integrated into an epigenetic score, represent promising predictive biomarkers for T2DM development. The interaction with dietary intervention-especially the Mediterranean diet-supports their potential use in guiding personalized dietary strategies for T2DM prevention in high-risk populations.

Study context

Population
Non-diabetic participants of the CORDIOPREV study, followed 5 years under Mediterranean or low-fat diet interventions; 22 circulating long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) quantified by qPCR
Participants
462 participants
Exposure
Model of 4 lncRNAs plus clinical variables vs models with HbA1c or clinical variables alone
Outcome
T2D incidence
Follow-up
5 years
Methodological detailsbiomarker prediction analysis within the CORDIOPREV study, 5-year follow-up, Mediterranean or low-fat diet interventions, random forest and machine learning methods
  • Biomarker prediction analysis within the CORDIOPREV study
  • 5-year follow-up
  • Mediterranean or low-fat diet interventions
  • Random forest and machine learning methods

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of T2D incidence
AUC of lncRNAs combined with clinical variables
0.730
Improvement vs model with HbA1c
p = 0.015
Improvement vs clinical variables alone
p < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Lower lncRNA score and risk of developing T2D

HR (lower lncRNA score)
0.37 (0.24-0.59), p < 0.001

lncRNA score and disposition index, Mediterranean diet

Inverse correlation, r
- 0.18, p = 0.009

Original publication

Circulating long non-coding RNAs as predictors of type 2 diabetes mellitus development: results from the CORDIOPREV study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 8 December 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02942-y

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