Type 2 & other diabetes

Chronic kidney disease risk assessment: Findings from backward‐looking study using annual health check‐up data in Japan

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This study highlights the necessity of a comprehensive evaluation of MetS factors in CKD risk assessment and shows the model using annual HC data can identify CKD progression effectively and accurately. A risk assessment approach considering multiple CKD stages will be crucial for early intervention and disease prevention strategies.

Study context

Population
Japanese individuals with annual health check-up data in the Kokuho Database, focusing on early metabolic syndrome stages
Outcome
Time from initial health check-up until estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) fell below 60 mL/min/1.73 m² (CKD) and 15 mL/min/1.73 m² (ESKD)
Methodological detailsbackward-looking, Cox regression analysis, Kokuho Database (health check-up and claims data, past 10 years)
  • Backward-looking
  • Cox regression analysis
  • Kokuho Database (health check-up and claims data, past 10 years)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

HRs of metabolic syndrome (MetS) factors for eGFR decline below CKD and ESKD cut-offs
  • Significant increases in hazard ratios (HRs) for body mass index (BMI), haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), triglycerides (TG) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) for primary and additional cut-offs
  • BMI, HbA1c and TG showed progressively stronger HR increases with advancing stages

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Model performance across all scenarios (chronic kindney disease (CKD), ESKD, CKD Stage 3b, CKD Stage 4)

Goodness of fit with high C-statistics for all scenarios

Original publication

Chronic kidney disease risk assessment: Findings from backward‐looking study using annual health check‐up data in Japan. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 14 April 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.16390

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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