Lipids & metabolic liver disease

The cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose (CHG) index as a novel metabolic marker for predicting adverse outcomes in myocardial infarction survivors: insights from two large prospective cohorts

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In two large independent cohorts of individuals with prior MI, the CHG index was independently associated with risks of adverse events. While its independent discriminative power is modest, the index serves as a valuable adjunctive tool that enhances risk reclassification, warranting further validation in prospective clinical settings to confirm its utility in secondary prevention.

Study context

Population
Individuals with a history of MI: UK Biobank (16,959) and post-MI patients with coronary artery disease from Fuwai Hospital (6,253)two cohorts
Exposure
CHG index Q4 vs Q1
Outcome
UK Biobank: all-cause and CV mortality; Fuwai Hospital: Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, ischemia-mediated revascularization) and hard endpoint (CV mortality and non-fatal MI)
Follow-up
Median 13.4 years (UK Biobank); 3.1 years (Fuwai)
Methodological detailstwo independent cohorts
  • Two independent cohorts

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause mortality (UK Biobank) · median follow-up 13.4 years
Q4 vs Q1Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Multivariate adjusted; all-cause mortality, UK Biobank
1.39(1.33–1.41)
Multivariate adjusted; CV mortality, UK Biobank
1.42(1.14–1.74)
MACE, Fuwai Hospital, median follow-up 3.1 years
1.37(1.17–1.61)
Hard endpoint, Fuwai Hospital, median follow-up 3.1 years
1.87(1.24–2.81)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Cumulative event rates across CHG quartiles (Kaplan-Meier)

Significant separation across CHG quartiles in both cohorts
log-rank P < 0.05

Restricted cubic splines (RCS) dose-response

Positive linear associations between CHG and all outcomes in both cohorts

Predictive performance (time-dependent ROC)

CHG index consistently outperformed TyG index model in predicting adverse outcomes
all FDR-adjusted P < 0.05

Original publication

The cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose (CHG) index as a novel metabolic marker for predicting adverse outcomes in myocardial infarction survivors: insights from two large prospective cohorts. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 24 February 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03104-4

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