Diabetes complications

Changes in the estimated glucose disposal rate and incident cardiovascular disease: two large prospective cohorts in Europe and Asia

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Different changes in eGDR level are associated with different risks of incident CVD. Dynamic monitoring of eGDR level is of significant importance for the CVD prevention and treatment.

Study context

Population
Individuals from UK Biobank and China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) with two measurements of estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR)11,682 UK Biobank
Exposure
Classes of eGDR change vs persistently high eGDR
Outcome
Incident CVD
Follow-up
Median 9.7 years (UK Biobank) and 3.0 years (CHARLS)
Methodological detailstwo prospective cohorts (UK Biobank and CHARLS), K-means clustering of eGDR change, Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounders
  • Two prospective cohorts (UK Biobank and CHARLS)
  • K-means clustering of eGDR change
  • Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounders

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs class 1Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Class 3UK Biobank
2.79(2.15–3.62)
Class 4UK Biobank
3.19(2.50–4.08)
Class 3CHARLS
1.66(1.29–2.13)
Class 4CHARLS
1.69(1.34–2.14)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Lower cumulative eGDR associated with elevated risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD)
Dose-response curve between cumulative eGDR and CVD risk showed a negative linear relationship

Original publication

Changes in the estimated glucose disposal rate and incident cardiovascular disease: two large prospective cohorts in Europe and Asia. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 7 November 2024. doi:10.1186/s12933-024-02485-8

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