Obesity

Associations of cumulative exposure and dynamic trajectories of the cholesterol–HDL–glucose index and its obesity-related derivatives with cardiovascular disease: a nationwide prospective cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

CHG and its derivatives were strongly associated with incident CVD, with CHG-CVAI and CHG-WC exhibiting the most pronounced associations. Moreover, ascending and declining trajectories of CHG-CVAI and CHG-WC were linked to higher risk

Study context

Population
Cardiovascular disease (CVD)-free participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS)CVD-free at baseline
Participants
3,359 participants
Exposure
Cumulative exposure and trajectories of CHG and its obesity-related derivatives (CHG-WC, CHG-CVAI) and incident CVD
Outcome
Incident CVD
Follow-up
Median 5 years
Methodological detailsnationwide, repeated measurements (2011 and 2015)
  • Nationwide
  • Repeated measurements (2011 and 2015)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

HR

Stable high · CHG-CVAI
1.79
Stable high · CHG-WC
1.65
Ascending · CHG-CVAI
1.79
Declining · CHG-CVAI
1.54
Ascending · CHG-WC
1.45
Declining · CHG-WC
1.54
Incident CVD
466 participants (13.9%)
Cumulative CHG-WC and CVD
HR = 1.29
Cumulative CHG-CVAI and CVD
HR = 1.28

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Discriminative power: cumulative CHG derivatives vs isolated cumulative CHGDelong's test P < 0.05

Discriminative power: cumulative CHG derivatives vs isolated cumulative CHG

Cumulative CHG derivatives showed significantly better discriminative power than isolated cumulative CHG

Original publication

Associations of cumulative exposure and dynamic trajectories of the cholesterol–HDL–glucose index and its obesity-related derivatives with cardiovascular disease: a nationwide prospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 17 July 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03295-w

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