Type 2 & other diabetes

Associations between anthropometric measures of obesity and prediabetes risk: A dose–response meta‐analysis of cohort studies

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies

Authors' conclusion

This study supports the use of BMI as a risk marker for prediabetes, whereas WC showed no significant association.

Study context

Population
Cohort studies assessing body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC) and development of prediabetes during longitudinal follow-up; databases searched through 3 May 202528 studies
Comparison
BMI and WC and prediabetes risk
Outcome
Prediabetes risk (development of prediabetes during the longitudinal investigation)
Methodological details8434 records retrieved; 28 included in the meta-analysis
  • 8434 records retrieved; 28 included in the meta-analysis

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Prediabetes risk

BMI as continuous variable, RR

1.10

95% CI 1.03, 1.17

BMI as categorical variable, RR

1.52

95% CI 1.19, 1.94

Dose-response: linear association; increase in prediabetes risk per 1-unit increase in BMI

4.6%

Original publication

Associations between anthropometric measures of obesity and prediabetes risk: A dose–response meta‐analysis of cohort studies. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 5 January 2026. doi:10.1111/dom.70453

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