Type 2 & other diabetes

Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope with all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes and early-stage chronic kidney disease

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · All adverse outcomesResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 1.36 to 2.97

Authors' conclusion

In a cohort of T2D people without decreased eGFR, accelerated declines and increases in eGFR were associated with all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular complications, supporting the potential prognostic utility of eGFR slope in T2D people with early-stage CKD.

Study context

Population
T2D participants without decreased eGFR (>60 mL/min/1.73 m²), 2008–2015, Hong Kong Hospital Authority electronic database
Participants
115,139 participants
Exposure
eGFR slope quintiles vs Quintile 3
Outcome
All-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular complications
Follow-up
Median 7.8 years
Methodological detailspopulation-based electronic database, Cox proportional or cause-specific models
  • Population-based electronic database
  • Cox proportional or cause-specific models

Main finding

All adverse outcomes

Adjusted hazard ratio

1.36 to 2.97

all P < 0.0001

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeEstimate
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (CKD) 0.65 (95 % CI 0.63–0.67)
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (≥ 40 % decline in eGFR) 0.85 (95 % CI 0.82–0.89)
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (death) 1.48 (95 % CI 1.40–1.56)
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (CVD) 1.19 (95 % CI 1.14–1.25)
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (DR) 1.07 (95 % CI 1.004–1.15)
Quintile 5 vs Quintile 3: CKD, ≥40% eGFR decline, death, CVD, DR, DN · median follow-up 7.8 yearsQuintile 5vs Quintile 3aHR (DN) 1.62 (95 % CI 1.37–1.91)

Original publication

Association of eGFR slope with all-cause mortality, macrovascular and microvascular outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes and early-stage chronic kidney disease. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 30 September 2023. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2023.110924

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