Association between trajectory of triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In critically ill patients with AF, TyG index trajectories were significantly associated with 30-day, 90-day, 180-day and 365-day all-cause mortality. This suggested that TyG index trajectories could serve as a robust indicator for risk stratification and prognosis assessment in ICU patients with AF.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) in intensive care unit (ICU), MIMIC-IV database
Participants
1,108 patients
Exposure
Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index trajectory groups
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Follow-up
30-day, 90-day, 180-day and 365-day follow-up
Methodological detailsgroup-based trajectory modeling, MIMIC-IV database
  • Group-based trajectory modeling
  • MIMIC-IV database

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

30-day, 90-day, 180-day and 365-day
traj4 vs traj1Hazard ratio (95% CI)
30-day
1.71(1.14–2.56)
90-day
1.67(1.17–2.39)
180-day
1.44(1.03–2.06)
365-day
1.44(1.04–1.98)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

TyG index and all-cause mortality (restricted cubic splines (RCS))

Linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality

Original publication

Association between trajectory of triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 10 July 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02838-x

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