Triglyceride-glucose-related indices and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in individuals with cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic (cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM)) syndrome stages 0–3: a prospective cohort study of 282,920 participants in the UK Biobank

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · Overall CVDResult — go to the resultHazard ratio (TyG index) 1.30 95% CI 1.25–1.35

Authors' conclusion

Higher TyG-related indices, especially TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, were significantly associated with a higher risk of incident CVD and mortality in individuals with CKM syndrome stage 0 to 3. Integrating TyG indices with obesity measures could enhance the incremental predictive performance for prognostic outcomes in CKM syndrome patients.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants with CKM syndrome stages 0–3, free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline
Participants
282,920 participants
Exposure
Highest vs lowest quartile of triglyceride-glucose (TyG)-related indices
Outcome
Overall CVD, CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality
Follow-up
Median 13.6 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank
  • UK Biobank

Main finding

Overall CVD

Hazard ratio (TyG index)

1.30

95% CI 1.25–1.35

Highest quartilevs Lowest quartile
HR (TyG index) 1.30 (95% CI 1.25–1.35)

As reported in the abstract

Consistent positive association with overall CVD, TyG-BMI: HR
1.49 (95% CI 1.43-1.55)
Consistent positive association with overall CVD, TyG-waist circumference (TyG-WC): HR
1.58 (95% CI 1.51-1.65)
Consistent positive association with overall CVD, TyG-waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR): HR
1.58 (95% CI 1.51-1.65)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
All-cause mortalityHighest TyG-BMI quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-BMI1.11 (1.06–1.16)
All-cause mortalityHighest TyG-WC quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-WC1.24 (1.18–1.31)
All-cause mortalityHighest TyG-WHtR quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-WHtR1.18 (1.13–1.24)
Cardiovascular mortalityHighest TyG-BMI quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-BMI1.42 (1.27–1.59)
Cardiovascular mortalityHighest TyG-WC quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-WC1.51 (1.33–1.72)
Cardiovascular mortalityHighest TyG-WHtR quartilevs Lowest quartileTyG-WHtR1.48 (1.31–1.67)
All-cause mortality — All-cause deaths
19,381
Cardiovascular mortality — Cardiovascular deaths
3,466

Cardiovascular mortality

Associations with cardiovascular mortality predominantly linear

Coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke events

CHD
21,658
Strokes
6,717

Incremental predictive performance

TyG-WHtR, TyG-WC and TyG-BMI exhibited significantly higher net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and AUC values

Original publication

Triglyceride-glucose-related indices and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in individuals with cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages 0–3: a prospective cohort study of 282,920 participants in the UK Biobank. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 10 July 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02842-1

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.