Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Association between atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): a cohort study based on NHANES 1999–2018

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In US patients with MASLD, baseline AIP exhibited a J-shaped relationship with ACM. An AIP > 1.71 may warrant early intervention. Baseline AIP may be an effective predictor of future ACM and CVM in individuals aged < 60. However, further research is required to validate these findings.

Study context

Population
US patients with MASLD, NHANES 1999–2018, mortality linked to National Death Index through 31 December 2019
Participants
6,567 patients
Exposure
Higher vs lower AIP
Outcome
All-cause mortality (ACM) and CVD mortality (CVM)
Follow-up
Median 122 months
Methodological detailsNHANES 1999–2018, linked to National Death Index, multivariate Cox models, restricted cubic spline
  • NHANES 1999–2018
  • Linked to National Death Index
  • Multivariate Cox models
  • Restricted cubic spline

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Higher AIP and CVM risk, adjusted HR

1.34

95% CI 1.01–1.79P = 0.05

AIP and ACM, adjusted HR (95% CI 0.89-1.24, P = 0.50); no significant association

1.05

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

ACM, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis: J-shaped relationship (threshold 1.71)

ACM risk when AIP > 1.71, HR
1.48 (95% CI 1.14-1.92, P = 0.003)

ACM, subgroup age < 60 years

Interaction AIP × age, Pfor_interaction
0.018
Elevated AIP and ACM in age < 60, HR
1.25 (95% CI 1.04-1.51; P = 0.018)

Mediation of AIP effect on ACM / CVM

HbA1c mediated, ACM / CVM
73.17% / 42.98%
Neutrophils mediated, ACM / CVM
20.10% / 12.48%
Hypertension mediated, ACM / CVM
9.80% / 11.96%
  • Sensitivity analysis confirmed robustness

Original publication

Association between atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): a cohort study based on NHANES 1999–2018. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 10 October 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02941-z

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