Thyroid disease

Artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of radiology reports: epidemiology and outcomes of incidental thyroid findings

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

ITFs were common and strongly associated with cascades leading to the detection of small, low-risk cancers, highlighting their role in overdiagnosis and the need for standardized reporting and more selective follow-up.

Study context

Population
Adults without prior thyroid disease undergoing thyroid-capturing imaging, July 1, 2017–September 30, 2023, Mayo Clinic sites; mean age 56.8 (SD 17.2), 52.9% women
Participants
115,683 adults
Exposure
Patients with incidental thyroid findings (ITFs) vs without ITFs
  • ITFn = 9,077
Outcome
ITF prevalence
Methodological detailsnatural language processing pipeline, multicentre
  • Natural language processing pipeline
  • Multicentre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

GroupValueNodular
ITF7.8%92.9%

ITF

Value7.8%
Nodular92.9%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeOR (95% CI)
Thyroid nodule diagnosis45 (41.1–49.3)
Biopsy46.8 (39.0–56.2)
Thyroidectomy55.8 (31.3–99.3)
Thyroid cancer diagnosis61.7 (38.6–98.5)

Cancer size

Cancer size — Most cancers were papillary
88.5%

Factors associated with ITFs

ITFs more likely in women, older adults, higher BMI, and imaging ordered by specialties other than Emergency Medicine
Vs chest CT, ITFs more likely via neck CT, PET and nuclear medicine scans

Documentation of nodule characteristics

Size reported
44%
Other features reported
fewer than 15%

Original publication

Artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of radiology reports: epidemiology and outcomes of incidental thyroid findings. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 27 April 2026. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgag186

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