Adjustment of the GRACE score by the stress hyperglycemia ratio improves the prediction of long-term major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: A multicenter retrospective study

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Multicenter retrospective study

Authors' conclusion

The SHR is an independent predictor of long-term MACEs in ACS patients undergoing PCI and markedly improves the performance of the GRACE score.

Study context

Population
Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), 11 hospitals
Exposure
GRACE score adjusted by stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) vs GRACE score alone
Outcome
Long-term MACEs: composite of all-cause mortality and nonfatal MI
Follow-up
Median 31.33 months
Methodological detailsdevelopment-validation
  • Development-validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of long-term MACEs (derivation cohort)

Continuous net reclassification improvement

30.5%

GRACE + SHR

Integrated discrimination improvement

0.042

P < 0.01

GRACE + SHR

GRACE + SHR

0.727

95% CI 0.616–0.837

C-statistic

GRACE

0.706

95% CI 0.599–0.813

C-statistic

SHR independently predicted long-term major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) (HR)
3.3479; 95% CI 1.4103-7.9475; P = 0.0062

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Validation cohort performance

Addition of SHR showed superior discrimination and good calibration in the validation cohort

Original publication

Adjustment of the GRACE score by the stress hyperglycemia ratio improves the prediction of long-term major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: A multicenter retrospective study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 5 March 2023. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2023.110601

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