Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

A simple fragility fracture risk score for type 2 diabetes patients: a derivation, validation, comparison, and risk stratification study

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Prognostic model derivation and internal validation cohort study

Authors' conclusion

These novel scores enable simple and reliable fracture risk stratification in T2D patients. Future work is needed to validate these findings in external cohort(s).

Study context

Population
Patients with T2D enrolled January 2015 to August 2019
Participants
1,855 patients
Comparison
New simple fracture risk scores vs FRAX and its adjustments
Outcome
Any fragility fracture (AF) and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF)
Follow-up
Median 5 years
Methodological detailslongitudinal cohort, Cox proportional hazard regression, internal validation by bootstrap resampling (1000)
  • Longitudinal cohort
  • Cox proportional hazard regression
  • Internal validation by bootstrap resampling (1000)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Fracture risk prediction performance
  • Concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots indicated improved identification performance with the new scores
  • Improved decision curve analysis (DCA) and AUC with the new scores vs FRAX and its derivatives
  • Scores separated T2D patients into risk groups with significant differences in fracture incidence

Further findings

Fracture incidence · median follow-up 5 years

Any fragility (AF) cases
119 (6.42%)
Major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) cases
92 (4.96%)

Original publication

A simple fragility fracture risk score for type 2 diabetes patients: a derivation, validation, comparison, and risk stratification study. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 13 November 2023. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvad150

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