Type 1 diabetes

A Secular Increase in the Incidence of Islet Autoimmunity Among Colorado Children With Moderate-Risk HLA Genotypes

Diabetes CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

IA increased among Colorado children born 1993-2010, with the strongest effects among moderate-risk HLA genotypes in later BCs.

Study context

Population
Colorado children born 1993–2010 in Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY) and The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY)
Participants
2,734 children3 birth cohorts
Exposure
Birth cohorts BC2 and BC3 vs BC1
Outcome
Islet autoimmunity (IA) incidence
Methodological detailsthree birth cohorts, Cox models with time-varying coefficients, BC-HLA interaction, mediation analyses
  • Three birth cohorts
  • Cox models with time-varying coefficients
  • BC-HLA interaction
  • Mediation analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

IA

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeTimes the IA risk
IA risk, moderate-risk HLA participants · age 1 yearBC2 vs BC12.57
IA risk, moderate-risk HLA participants · age 1 yearBC3 vs BC16.19

Islet autoimmunity (IA) risk, moderate-risk HLA participants · age 1 year

By age 5 years, effects attenuated

Mediation by environmental exposures (age at gluten introduction, weight-for-age Z-score, maternal smoking)

No selected environmental exposures mediated the increased incidence

Original publication

A Secular Increase in the Incidence of Islet Autoimmunity Among Colorado Children With Moderate-Risk HLA Genotypes. Diabetes Care. Published 1 July 2026. doi:10.2337/dc26-0659

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