Type 2 & other diabetes

Vitamin D and Risk for Type 2 Diabetes in People With Prediabetes : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data From 3 Randomized Clinical Trials

Ann Intern MedPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

Authors' conclusion

In adults with prediabetes, vitamin D was effective in decreasing risk for diabetes.

Study context

Population
Adults with prediabetes3 RCTs
Comparison
Oral vitamin D vs placebo
Outcome
Time to event for new-onset diabetes
Methodological detailsprespecified analyses, unadjusted and adjusted for key baseline variables, intention-to-treat, Trials were at low risk of bias
  • Prespecified analyses, unadjusted and adjusted for key baseline variables
  • Intention-to-treat
  • Trials were at low risk of bias

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

New-onset diabetes
Vitamin D vs PlaceboHazard ratio (95% CI)
Adjusted analyses; risk reduced by 15%
0.85(0.75–0.96)
New-onset diabetes
3-year absolute risk reduction 3.3% (95% CI 0.6%–6.0%)

Further pooled results

OutcomeEstimate
Regression to normal glucose regulationLikelihood increased by 30%rate ratio 1.30 (CI 1.16–1.46)
New-onset diabetes, vitamin D recipients with intratrial mean serum 25(OH)D ≥125 nmol/L (≥50 ng/mL) vs 50 to 74 nmol/L (20 to 29 ng/mL)25(OH)D ≥125 nmol/Lvs 25(OH)D 50 to 74 nmol/LCholecalciferol reduced risk by 76%HR 0.24 (CI 0.16–0.36)
Outcome3-year absolute risk reduction (CI)
New-onset diabetes, vitamin D recipients with intratrial mean serum 25(OH)D ≥125 nmol/L (≥50 ng/mL) vs 50 to 74 nmol/L (20 to 29 ng/mL)25(OH)D ≥125 nmol/L vs 25(OH)D 50 to 74 nmol/L18.1% (11.7%–24.6%)

Prespecified subgroups

Effect of vitamin D did not differ in prespecified subgroups

Safety

OutcomeEstimate
Adverse eventsVitamin Dvs PlaceboTrials may not have been powered for safety outcomesrate ratio, kidney stones 1.17 (CI 0.69–1.99)
Adverse eventsVitamin Dvs PlaceboTrials may not have been powered for safety outcomesrate ratio, hypercalcemia 2.34 (CI 0.83–6.66)
Adverse eventsVitamin Dvs PlaceboTrials may not have been powered for safety outcomesrate ratio, hypercalciuria 1.65 (CI 0.83–3.28)
Adverse eventsVitamin Dvs PlaceboTrials may not have been powered for safety outcomesrate ratio, death 0.85 (CI 0.31–2.36)

Adverse events

No evidence of difference in rate ratios for adverse events

Original publication

Vitamin D and Risk for Type 2 Diabetes in People With Prediabetes : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Individual Participant Data From 3 Randomized Clinical Trials. Ann Intern Med. Published 7 February 2023. doi:10.7326/m22-3018

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