Thyroid disease

Thyroid antibody status, thyroid function, and the risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: an individual participant data analysis from 14 cohorts

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Individual participant data meta-analysis of cohort studies

Authors' conclusion

Positive TPOAb status was not associated with increased risk of CHD or stroke. These findings do not support the use of TPOAb testing for cardiovascular risk assessment in the overall population or among individuals with subclinical hypothyroidism.

Study context

Population
Adults from 14 cohort studies (Thyroid Studies Collaboration and systematic searches through November 2024); median age 55 years, 56.7% women; 11.9% thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb)-positive, 5.4% SCH
Participants
100,250 adults14 cohort studies
Comparison
TPOAb-positive vs TPOAb-negative
Outcome
Coronary heart disease (CHD) events, CHD mortality, stroke events and stroke mortality
Methodological details2-stage individual participant data analysis, Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), random-effects meta-analysis
  • 2-stage individual participant data analysis
  • Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex and TSH
  • Random-effects meta-analysis

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

CVD outcomes, overall population
TPOAb-positive vs TPOAb-negativeHazard ratio (95% CI)
CHD events
1.00(0.90–1.11)
CHD mortality
0.95(0.78–1.16)
Stroke events
0.98(0.87–1.11)
Stroke mortality
1.06(0.81–1.40)

Further pooled results

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes in SCH subgroup

In SCH, positive TPOAb was not associated with increased risk for any CVD outcome

Original publication

Thyroid antibody status, thyroid function, and the risk of coronary heart disease and stroke: an individual participant data analysis from 14 cohorts. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 24 October 2025. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvaf209

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