The incidence and predictors of falling in older adults: the results of follow-up in Iranian multicenter osteoporosis study (IMOS)
Authors' conclusion
History of previous falls was the important independent predictor of incident falls after adjustment, highlighting the importance of systematic fall-history assessment in community-dwelling older adults.
Study context
- Population
- Community-dwelling Iranian adults aged ≥ 50 years in the Iranian Multicenter Osteoporosis Study; 54.6% women, mean age 60.7 ± 8.0 years1,410 completed follow-up
- Participants
- 1,450 adults
- Outcome
- Incidence of falls and associated risk factors
- Follow-up
- one-year follow-up
Methodological detailsmulticenter, community-dwelling, one-year follow-up, Falls tracked prospectively over 12 months through phone calls
- Multicenter
- Community-dwelling
- One-year follow-up
- Falls tracked prospectively over 12 months through phone calls
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
Fall incidence rate · 12 months
Overall fall incidence rate
14.27 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI: 12.64-16.09)
Observational data: associations, not effects.
Further findings
| Outcome | HR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Independent predictors of incident falls (multivariable Cox regression) · 1-year follow-upOne fall during past yearvs No fall during past yearAfter multivariable adjustment | 2.49 (1.76–3.70) | |
| Independent predictors of incident falls (multivariable Cox regression) · 1-year follow-upTwo or more falls during past yearvs No fall during past yearAfter multivariable adjustment | 2.55 (1.74–3.70) | |
| 0.20.5125Hazard ratio (log scale) |
Unadjusted predictors of fall risk
- Female sex, higher BMI, dizziness, visual impairment and prior fall history associated with increased fall risk
- Unadjusted analyses
Fall incidence by sex
- Higher fall rates among women than men
Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.
Original publication
The incidence and predictors of falling in older adults: the results of follow-up in Iranian multicenter osteoporosis study (IMOS). Osteoporos Int. Published 6 August 2026. doi:10.
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