The Evolving Role of High‐Sensitivity C‐Reactive Protein for Mortality Prediction Across the Spectrum of Cardiovascular–Kidney–Metabolic Syndrome

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The association of hsCRP with mortality diminishes with CKM syndrome progression, suggesting a shift from inflammation-driven risk in early stages to complex multiorgan dysfunction in late stages.

Study context

Population
Participants of the Kailuan Study, across cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome stages 0–413,960 deaths
Participants
86,829 participants
Exposure
High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and all-cause mortality by CKM stage
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Follow-up
Median 16.01 years
Methodological detailsstratified by AHA-defined CKM stages (0-4), multivariable Cox models
  • Stratified by AHA-defined CKM stages (0-4)
  • Multivariable Cox models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause mortality per unit increase in ln(hsCRP), adjusted HR by CKM stage
GroupaHR per ln(hsCRP) (95% CI)
Stage 01.11 (1.03-1.20)
Stage 11.14 (1.07-1.21)
Stage 21.08 (1.06-1.10)
Stage 31.05 (1.03-1.07)
Stage 41.04 (1.00-1.08)

aHR per ln(hsCRP) (95% CI)

Stage 01.11 (1.03-1.20)
Stage 11.14 (1.07-1.21)
Stage 21.08 (1.06-1.10)
Stage 31.05 (1.03-1.07)
Stage 41.04 (1.00-1.08)
Association attenuated progressively with advancing CKM stage (p for interaction)
P for interaction < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeStage 0Stage 4
All-cause mortality, hsCRP ≥2 vs <2 mg/L, by CKM stage
HR (CI)1.51 (1.15-1.98)1.07 (0.97-1.19)

All-cause mortality, hsCRP ≥2 vs <2 mg/L, by CKM stage

Declining mortality risks from Stage 0 to Stage 4

Restricted cubic splines

Steep risk curves in early stages, plateau in advanced stages

Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analyses supported robustness

Original publication

The Evolving Role of High‐Sensitivity C‐Reactive Protein for Mortality Prediction Across the Spectrum of Cardiovascular–Kidney–Metabolic Syndrome. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 10 May 2026. doi:10.1111/dom.70843

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