Type 2 & other diabetes

Proteomics‐enabled learning machine algorithms enhance the prediction of cardiovascular diseases in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Prognostic model development study

Authors' conclusion

Proteomics can be used to predict cardiovascular complications in diabetic patients. It is also necessary to consider the applicability of the model due to the limitations of the sample size and the constraints of proteomics in clinical applications.

Study context

Population
Patients with T2D, UK Biobank, 2,920 Olink proteins
Participants
874 patients
Comparison
Full model vs basic model
Outcome
Prediction of CVD, evaluated by AUC
Methodological detailsmachine learning, random survival forest, proteomics, Cox and LASSO regression for protein screening
  • Machine learning
  • Random survival forest
  • Proteomics
  • Cox and LASSO regression for protein screening

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Time-dependent AUC for predicting CVD · 3, 5 and 10 years
Test or modelAUC 3 yearsAUC 5 yearsAUC 10 years
Full model0.810.740.74
Basic model0.770.690.67

AUC 3 years

Full model0.81
Basic model0.77

AUC 5 years

Full model0.74
Basic model0.69

AUC 10 years

Full model0.74
Basic model0.67

Further findings

Comparison with Framingham, ASCVD and Score2-Diabetes models

Prediction performance of the full model was better than Framingham, ASCVD and Score2-Diabetes models

Identification of high-risk individuals (net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement)

Full model identified high-risk individuals more accurately; accuracy rate
79% vs. 69%

Original publication

Proteomics‐enabled learning machine algorithms enhance the prediction of cardiovascular diseases in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 1 September 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.70064

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