Adrenal disease

Prognostic models to predict complete resolution of hypertension after adrenalectomy in primary aldosteronism: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

Clin Endocrinol (Oxf)Published Systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic models

Authors' conclusion

The PASO score, Utsumi nomogram and ARS model showed comparable discrimination performance to predict CRH in primary aldosteronism.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing total adrenalectomy for PA; development and validation studies of prognostic models for complete resolution of hypertension (CRH)25 studies
Comparison
Prognostic models for predicting complete resolution of hypertension
Outcome
Predictive performance (AUC) of prognostic models for CRH after adrenalectomy
Methodological detailsSearched MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science, 12 prognostic models identified; 3 with data from ≥3 external validation studies reported
  • Searched MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science
  • 12 prognostic models identified; 3 with data from ≥3 external validation studies reported

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

AUC for predicting CRH (models with ≥3 external validation studies)
GroupValueAUC95% PI
Primary aldosteronism surgical outcome (PASO) score0.81 (95% CI 0.74–0.86)0.810.04-1.00
Utsumi nomogram0.79 (95% CI 0.72–0.85)0.790.03-1.00
Aldosteronoma resolution score (ARS) model0.77 (95% CI 0.74–0.80)0.770.59-0.86

Value

Primary aldosteronism surgical outcome (PASO) score0.81 (95% CI 0.74–0.86)
Utsumi nomogram0.79 (95% CI 0.72–0.85)
Aldosteronoma resolution score (ARS) model0.77 (95% CI 0.74–0.80)

AUC

Primary aldosteronism surgical outcome (PASO) score0.81
Utsumi nomogram0.79
Aldosteronoma resolution score (ARS) model0.77

95% PI

Primary aldosteronism surgical outcome (PASO) score0.04-1.00
Utsumi nomogram0.03-1.00
Aldosteronoma resolution score (ARS) model0.59-0.86

Further pooled results

ARS model AUC in studies with the same AVS-guided adrenalectomy rate as the models meta-analysed
0.80 · 95% CI 0.75–0.85

Original publication

Prognostic models to predict complete resolution of hypertension after adrenalectomy in primary aldosteronism: A systematic review and meta‐analysis. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). Published 20 April 2023. doi:10.1111/cen.14918

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