Obesity

Predictive value of the triglyceride glucose index-a body shape index (TyG-ABSI) for cardiovascular disease and its comparison with other triglyceride-glucose (TyG)-related obesity indices: a study based on the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS) cohort

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

TyG-ABSI was significantly and positively associated with an increased risk of incident CVD. Although TyG-ABSI as an isolated screening tool did not surpass traditional parameters like TyG-BMI in overall prospective accuracy, it exhibited only a negligible correlation with BMI, demonstrating that this metric is not redundant. Consequently, TyG-ABSI retains the potential to capture specific pathogenic signals independent of gross body mass. Future risk stratification toolkits should consider transitioning toward an integrated Anthropometric Risk Indicator (ARI) framework that couples the metabolic sensitivity of TyG-BMI with the specific body shape risks indicated by TyG-ABSI.

Study context

Population
Participants of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline with complete essential information, 2011–20201,267 incident CVD cases
Participants
7,197 participants
Exposure
TyG-ABSI vs other TyG-related obesity indices for incident CVD
Outcome
Incident CVD
Follow-up
2011 to 2020
Methodological detailsCHARLS cohort, fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards models
  • CHARLS cohort
  • Fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Association of baseline TyG-ABSI with incident CVD (fully adjusted model)

Composite CVD, HR (95% CI 1.01-1.14), P = 0.016

1.08

Incident stroke, HR (95% CI 1.05-1.28), P = 0.003

1.16

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Non-linear association (restricted cubic splines (RCS))

No significant non-linear association for CVD
P = 0.855
No significant non-linear association for stroke
P = 0.728

Predictive performance vs other indices

TyG-ABSI improved prediction over ABSI alone but offered no advantage over traditional indices
Decision curve analysis (DCA): traditional indices had better net benefit than TyG-ABSI or its components
Independent predictive value highly consistent across sensitivity analyses

Correlation analysis

Multicollinearity clustering among traditional indices, r
0.751-0.890
Correlation of ABSI with BMI, r
- 0.056

Original publication

Predictive value of the triglyceride glucose index-a body shape index (TyG-ABSI) for cardiovascular disease and its comparison with other TyG-related obesity indices: a study based on the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS) cohort. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 7 June 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03241-w

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