Endocrine oncology

Predictive factors of radioiodine ablation success: results from a MEDIRAD prospective clinical study for thyroid cancer

Eur Thyroid JPublished Prospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

Predictions of ablation success using post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin or the absorbed dose to the thyroid remnant could inform personalisation of management of differentiated thyroid cancer and identify patients where further treatments or more intensive follow-up are required. Patients with a post-operative stimulated Tg of <1 ng/mL likely do not benefit from radioiodine.

Study context

Population
DTC patients treated with 1.1 or 3.7 GBq radioiodine after rhTSH stimulation or thyroid hormone withdrawal, France, Germany and UK; with follow-up data and negative antithyroglobulin antibody testsnegative TgAb, with follow-up
Participants
94 patients
Exposure
Post-operative stimulated Tg vs maximum absorbed dose to thyroid remnant for predicting ablation success
Outcome
Ablation success: unstimulated or stimulated Tg <0.2 or <1.0 ng/mL
Follow-up
9-12 months post-radioiodine
Methodological detailsmulticentre, multinational (France, Germany, UK), aligned study endpoints (MEDIRAD)
  • Multicentre
  • Multinational (France, Germany, UK)
  • Aligned study endpoints (MEDIRAD)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of ablation success (ROC AUC)
GroupAUCP
Post-operative stimulated Tg0.83 ± 0.05P < 0.001
Maximum absorbed dose0.64 ± 0.08P = 0.12

AUC

Post-operative stimulated Tg0.83 ± 0.05
Maximum absorbed dose0.64 ± 0.08

P

Post-operative stimulated TgP < 0.001
Maximum absorbed doseP = 0.12

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Excellent biochemical response · 9-12 months post-radioiodine

Excellent biochemical responders
78 (83%)

Dose-response between maximum absorbed dose and ablation success

Dose-response relationship found in patients with post-operative stimulated Tg ≥1 ng/mL

Original publication

Predictive factors of radioiodine ablation success: results from a MEDIRAD prospective clinical study for thyroid cancer. Eur Thyroid J. Published 18 June 2025. doi:10.1530/etj-25-0097

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