Adrenal disease

Predicting treatment outcome in congenital adrenal hyperplasia using urine steroidomics and machine learning

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Prospective observational cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Using ML on 24 h urine steroid profiling predicted treatment outcome in children with CAH, even in the absence of clinical data, suggesting that routine comprehensive 24 h urine steroid profiling could improve treatment monitoring in CAH.

Study context

Population
Children and adolescents with congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) due to 21-hydroxylase deficiency; 24 h urines of 2 consecutive visits, 40 steroids measured by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry
Participants
59 children112 visits
Exposure
Sparse partial least squares discriminant analysis (sPLS-DA) model using 24 h urine metabolites only vs model adding clinical variables
Outcome
Prediction of treatment outcome (clinically classified as undertreated, optimally treated or overtreated) by machine learning (ML) on 24 h urine steroid profiling (AUC)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of treatment outcome (optimal vs undertreatment) by sPLS-DA
GroupAUC
Urine metabolites0.88

Urine metabolites

AUC0.88
Addition of clinical variables marginally improved classification (AUC)
0.90

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Predicting treatment outcome in congenital adrenal hyperplasia using urine steroidomics and machine learning. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 14 June 2025. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvaf121

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