Type 2 & other diabetes

Prediabetes Is Associated With Increased Risk of Heart Failure Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Diabetes CarePublished Cohort study

Main finding · Incident HFResult — go to the resultSubdistribution hazard ratio 1.12 95% CI 1.03–1.22

Authors' conclusion

Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF in patients with AF. Compared with patients who remained prediabetic, those who progressed to diabetes at 2 years experienced an increased risk of HF, whereas those who reversed to normoglycemia incurred a lower risk of HF.

Study context

Population
Patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) between 2015 and 2018; mean age 75.5 years, 47% female
Participants
17,943 patients
Exposure
Prediabetes vs normoglycemia at baseline
  • Prediabetesn = 3,711
  • Type 2 diabetesn = 10,127
Outcome
Incident heart failure (HF)
Follow-up
Median 4.7 years
Methodological detailsFine and Gray competing risks model, death as competing event
  • Fine and Gray competing risks model, death as competing event

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Subdistribution hazard ratio

1.12

95% CI 1.03–1.22

Events by group

Prediabetesvs Normoglycemia
SHR 1.12 (95% CI 1.03–1.22)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeSHR (95% CI)
HF by change in glycemic status at 2 yearsProgression to diabetesvs Remaining prediabetic1.50 (1.13–1.97)
HF by change in glycemic status at 2 yearsReversion to normoglycemiavs Remaining prediabetic0.61 (0.42–0.94)

Change in glycemic status among baseline prediabetes · 2 years

Progressed to diabetes
403 (11.1%)
Reversed to normoglycemia
311 (8.6%)

Original publication

Prediabetes Is Associated With Increased Risk of Heart Failure Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation. Diabetes Care. Published 17 October 2022. doi:10.2337/dc22-1188

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