Plasma Proteins Predict Kidney Function Trajectories in Type 2 Diabetes

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Different plasma proteins are associated with progressive and accelerated eGFR decline, independent of traditional cardiorenal risk factors, some of which enhance eGFR trajectory prediction in patients with T2D.

Study context

Population
Patients with T2D and relatively preserved kidney function (baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m²), SMART2D and diabetic nephropathy cohorts2 cohorts · SMART2D 1,285 · diabetic nephropathy 798
Exposure
eGFR trajectory groups: progressive or accelerated decline vs slow decline
Outcome
Plasma proteins associated with eGFR trajectories (1448 proteins analysed, SMART2D)
Methodological detailsproteomic association analysis, latent class mixed models, multivariable logistic regression, validation cohort
  • Proteomic association analysis
  • Latent class mixed models
  • Multivariable logistic regression
  • Validation cohort

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Proteins associated with accelerated decline
19
KIM-1, accelerated decline: OR (95% CI); P
2.95 (2.01-4.32); P = 2.95 × 10-8
MMP7, accelerated decline: OR (95% CI); P
16.5 (5.54-49.07); P = 4.61 × 10-7
VSIG4, accelerated decline: OR (95% CI); P
7.38 (3.22-16.89); P = 2.24 × 10-6
Proteins associated with progressive decline
1
Protein for progressive decline: OR (95% CI); P
6.34 (2.77-14.52); P = 1.26 × 10-5

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Progression to end-stage kidney disease

Highest risk in accelerated decline group (log-rank test)
P < 0.0001

AUC after adding proteins to clinical risk factors

Progressive decline: AUC (delta)
0.77 (delta 0.04, P = .057)
Accelerated decline: AUC (delta)
0.93 (delta 0.09, P < .001)
  • Clinical risk factors: age, sex, ethnicity, eGFR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, HbA1c, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure, triglyceride

Original publication

Plasma Proteins Predict Kidney Function Trajectories in Type 2 Diabetes. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 14 February 2025. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgaf095

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