Obesity

Pediatric obesity and the risk of multiple sclerosis: a nationwide prospective cohort study

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Nationwide prospective cohort study

Main finding · Developing MSResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 2.28 95% CI 1.45–3.58

Authors' conclusion

Both childhood and adolescent obesity are associated with an increased risk of MS. Moreover, a dose-response relationship between the degree of obesity and the risk of future MS was indicated, while response to pediatric obesity treatment did not affect the association, highlighting the importance of preventing high degree of obesity early in life.

Study context

Population
Patients aged 2–19 years from the Swedish Childhood Obesity Treatment Register (BORIS) and matched individuals from the general population; median age at follow-up 21 (Q1, Q3 18, 25) years
Participants
21,652 vs 102,187
Exposure
Pediatric obesity vs general population comparators
  • Pediatric obesityn = 21,652
  • General population comparatorsn = 102,187reference
Outcome
MS, identified through the National Patient Register
Methodological detailsmatched general population comparators, HR adjusted for parental multiple sclerosis (MS)
  • Matched general population comparators
  • HR adjusted for parental MS

Main finding

Developing MS

Adjusted hazard ratio

2.28

95% CI 1.45–3.58

Pediatric obesityvs General population comparators
adjusted HR 2.28 (95% CI 1.45–3.58)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (CI)
MS by obesity class (stratified analyses)Obesity class Ivs General population comparatorsNot associated with MS · stratified analyses1.34 (0.64–2.81)
MS by obesity class (stratified analyses)Obesity class IIvs General population comparatorsAssociation strengthened · stratified analyses3.42 (1.89–6.19)
MS by age at obesity (stratified analyses)Childhood obesityvs General population comparatorsStratified analyses3.16 (1.12–8.87)
MS by age at obesity (stratified analyses)Adolescent obesityvs General population comparatorsStratified analyses2.12 (1.28–3.51)

MS by decrease in body mass index (BMI) SDS (response to obesity treatment, subgroup)

HR per 0.25 BMI SDS unit decrease; not associated with lower likelihood of MS
1.09 (0.92-1.29)

Original publication

Pediatric obesity and the risk of multiple sclerosis: a nationwide prospective cohort study. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 30 January 2025. doi:10.1038/s41366-025-01727-3

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