Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Opportunistic Osteoporosis Screening Using CT-Derived Volumetric Bone Mineral Density Reference Curves

J Bone Miner ResPublished retrospective cohort

Authors' conclusion

These findings indicate that CT-derived vBMD percentile thresholds offer clinically meaningful cut-points for opportunistic screening and support their use as a diagnostic flag for further evaluation.

Study context

Population
Clinical computed tomography (CT) scans with linked administrative health data; a subset with corresponding DXA imaging within one yearclinical CT scans analyzed, 2,368 males and 2,050 females · subset with corresponding DXA imaging within one year 1,088 · males 2,368 · females 2,050
Participants
4,418 scans
Outcome
Fracture cases with vertebral body volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) below the CT-defined osteoporosis threshold

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Female fracture cases below threshold

66.3%

n=67

Male fracture cases below threshold

41.9%

n=26

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Fracture cases below the CT threshold who had not undergone DXA screening

Among female fracture cases below threshold, had not undergone DXA screening
44.8% (n=30)
Among male fracture cases below threshold, had not undergone DXA screening
76.9% (n=20)

Risk of major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) with CT-defined osteoporosis

Individuals classified as osteoporotic based on CT-derived thresholds had up to 2.86 times higher risk of sustaining an MOF across all vertebral sites in both sexes
2.86
  • Cox proportional hazards models

Original publication

Opportunistic Osteoporosis Screening Using CT-Derived Volumetric Bone Mineral Density Reference Curves. J Bone Miner Res. Published 8 November 2026. doi:10.1093/jbmr/zjag158

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