Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Mortality in patients over 65 with proximal humerus fractures: a systematic review of 414,379 shoulders with meta-analysis

Osteoporos IntPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

Authors' conclusion

For patients ≥ 65 years, PHFs are associated with high rates of mortality in the short-to-medium-term: 10.1% at 1 year and 36.1% at 5-year follow-up.

Study context

Population
Patients ≥ 65 years with proximal humerus fractures; 82% female, mean age 78.8 ± 2.5
Participants
414,379 patients17 studies
Comparison
Operative vs non-operative treatment
Outcome
Mortality rate
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailsPRISMA guidelines, random-effects model, subgroup analysis by treatment type
  • PRISMA guidelines
  • Random-effects model
  • Subgroup analysis by treatment type

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Pooled 1-year mortality

Pooled 1-year mortality rate

10%

95% CI 8.97–11.20%

Further pooled results

OutcomeOperativeNon-operativeDifference (%) (95% CI)
Mortality by treatment type7.92% (CI 6.98–8.86%)10.80% (CI 9.44–12.17%)- 2.89 (- 4.54 to - 1.23%)
  • Mortality by treatment type: interpret with caution: likely confounding by indication in observational studies

Pooled 30-day/in-hospital mortality

Pooled 30-day/in-hospital mortality
1.74% (95% CI 1.39-2.10%)

5-year mortality

5-year mortality
36.10% (95% CI 34.50-37.70%)

Original publication

Mortality in patients over 65 with proximal humerus fractures: a systematic review of 414,379 shoulders with meta-analysis. Osteoporos Int. Published 24 April 2026. doi:10.1007/s00198-026-08043-0

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