Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Localized bone deterioration predicts declining failure load and increased fracture risk

Osteoporos IntPublished Longitudinal population-based cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Void spaces increased with age, progressed slower in males, and were strongly associated with reduced bone strength, especially at the tibia. While the impact on fracture risk was modest, void space may serve as an early marker of skeletal deterioration, supporting the potential role in osteoporosis monitoring.

Study context

Population
Participants of a longitudinal population study (63.2% female); mean age 53.7 ± 15.3 years; HR-pQCT of distal radius and tibia63.2% female
Participants
603 participants
Outcome
Void space progression (VS/TV [%]) by age, sex and site
Follow-up
Mean 6.8 ± 1.8 years
Methodological detailsHR-pQCT at two visits 3-10 years apart, linear mixed-effects models
  • HR-pQCT at two visits 3-10 years apart
  • Linear mixed-effects models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Void space (VS/TV) progression

Void space increase per year of age

0.02%

p< 0.001

Males: lower VS/TV at baseline and slower progression (p< 0.001)

1.04%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Association of 1% increase in VS/TV with fracture risk

Increase in fracture risk (p< 0.01)
0.5%

Association of 1% increase in VS/TV with failure load

Reduction in failure load at the radius (p = 0.073)
31.6 N
Reduction in failure load at the tibia (p = 0.006)
111.3 N

Original publication

Localized bone deterioration predicts declining failure load and increased fracture risk. Osteoporos Int. Published 29 October 2025. doi:10.1007/s00198-025-07750-4

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