Obesity

Indirect comparative efficacy and safety of tirzepatide vs semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or overweight in patients without type 2 diabetes

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Indirect treatment comparison

Authors' conclusion

In this ITC for obesity treatment in adults without T2D, with obesity, or overweight with ≥1 ORC, compared with semaglutide, tirzepatide 10 or 15 mg was associated with improvements in weight reduction, body composition and several cardiometabolic risk factors and generally similar safety profiles.

Study context

Population
Adults with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m²), or overweight (BMI ≥ 27 kg/m²) with ≥1 obesity-related complication, without T2D
Comparison
Tirzepatide 5, 10 and 15 mg/week vs semaglutide 2.4 mg/week
Outcome
Weight reduction
Follow-up
Week 68, STEP 1; Week 72, SURMOUNT-1
Methodological detailsadjusted (for sex, and sex and ethnicity) and unadjusted, via placebo
  • Adjusted (for sex, and sex and ethnicity) and unadjusted
  • Via placebo

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Tirzepatide 10 mg

−5.10 kg

CI −6.63, - 3.57

Tirzepatide 15 mg

−6.50 kg

CI −8.03,−4.97

Further findings

OutcomeDifference (kg/m²) (CI)
BMI · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 10 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−1.87 (−2.43,−1.31)
BMI · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−2.37 (−2.93,−1.81)
OutcomeDifference (cm) (CI)
Waist circumference · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 10 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−5.25 (−6.69,−3.81)
Waist circumference · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−5.75 (−7.19,−4.31)
OutcomeDifference (%) (CI)
HbA1c · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 10 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−0.08 (−0.13,−0.03)
HbA1c · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−0.10 (−0.15 to −0.05)
Percentage body fat mass (participants reporting body composition)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs Semaglutide−3.50 (−6.66 to −0.34)
Percentage body lean mass (participants reporting body composition)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs Semaglutide3.40 (0.40–6.40)
OutcomeDifference (mg/dL) (CI)
FPG · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 10 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−1.69 (−3.36,−0.02)
FPG · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)Tirzepatide 15 mgvs SemaglutideEfficacy estimand, unadjusted ITC−2.52 (−4.19,−0.85)

Participants achieving ≥10/15/20% weight reduction · Week 68 (STEP 1) / Week 72 (SURMOUNT-1)

Tirzepatide 10 and 15 mg: statistically significant improvements vs semaglutide
  • Efficacy estimand, unadjusted indirect treatment comparison (ITC)

Tirzepatide 5 mg vs semaglutide (weight, BMI, waist, HbA1c, FPG)

Tirzepatide 5 mg showed non-significant trends of greater improvements vs semaglutide

Adjusted vs unadjusted comparisons

Results were broadly consistent across adjusted and unadjusted comparisons

Safety

Safety profiles of tirzepatide and semaglutide were generally similar

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Indirect comparative efficacy and safety of tirzepatide vs semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or overweight in patients without type 2 diabetes. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 28 September 2026. doi:10.1038/s41366-026-02229-6

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