Thyroid disease

Incidental Thyroid Nodules on Computed Tomography: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Examining Prevalence, Follow-Up, and Risk of Malignancy

ThyroidPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

Authors' conclusion

Most thyroid incidentalomas identified on CT are benign.

Study context

Population
Patients with thyroid incidentalomas detected by computed tomography (CT); studies in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane published before April 12, 2024
Participants
195,959 patients38 studies
Outcome
Prevalence, follow-up practices and malignancy rates (ROM) of thyroid incidentalomas detected by CT
Methodological detailsrandom-effects model, pooled proportion, subgroup analyses by incidentaloma size, CT area and age, Risk of bias assessed with RoB 2 and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale
  • Random-effects model
  • Pooled proportion
  • Subgroup analyses by incidentaloma size, CT area and age
  • Risk of bias assessed with RoB 2 and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Prevalence of thyroid incidentalomas on CT

Prevalence of thyroid incidentalomas on CT

8.3%

CI 7.4–9.3

Risk of malignancy, 25 studies, 6272 patients

3.9%

CI 3.0–4.9

Further pooled results

Prevalence by CT area
Percent
Neck CT
16.5%(CI 11.0–22.1)
Chest CT
6.6%(CI 5.3–7.9)
  • Higher in neck CT
Risk of malignancy by nodule size
Percent
≥1 cm
11.7%(CI 3.9–19.4)
≥1.5 cm
24.9%(CI 0–52.7)
<1 cm
0.1%(CI 0–0.8)
<1.5 cm
0%(CI 0–0.2)
  • Higher risk of malignancy (ROM) in larger nodules

Nodule characteristics

Multiple incidentalomas
27.0% (CI 12.9-41.1)
Nodules ≥1 cm
46.3% (CI 32.3-60.3)
Nodules ≥1.5 cm
28.6% (CI 19.9-37.3)

Follow-up

Thyroid US
34.9% (CI 26.1-43.7)
Biopsy
28.4% (CI 19.9-36.9)
Surgery
8.2% (CI 2.1-14.4)

Original publication

Incidental Thyroid Nodules on Computed Tomography: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Examining Prevalence, Follow-Up, and Risk of Malignancy. Thyroid. Published 27 September 2024. doi:10.1089/thy.2024.0313

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