Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

Gestational diabetes mellitus recurrence rate and risk factors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

Study context

Population
Women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) with a subsequent pregnancy
Participants
30,524 women30 studies
Outcome
GDM recurrence rate
Methodological detailsnine electronic databases searched
  • Nine electronic databases searched

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Pooled GDM recurrence rate

Women with recurrence

13,610

Pooled recurrence rate

50.7 %

95% CI 46.6–55.2

Heterogeneity I2 (P < 0.001; range 30.87-73.75 %), mainly from diagnostic criteria differences

97.7 %

Further pooled results

Risk factors for GDM recurrence (10 significant)

Advanced maternal age (subsequent pregnancy ≥ 35 years), OR
3.408 (95% CI 2.591-4.482)
BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² in index pregnancy, OR
3.248 (95% CI 1.838-5.742)
BMI ≥ 25 kg/m² in subsequent pregnancy, OR
2.273 (95% CI 1.463-3.530)
Prior macrosomia, OR
2.064 (95% CI 1.820-2.341)
Index-pregnancy insulin therapy, OR
2.353 (95% CI 1.351-4.098)
Early subsequent-pregnancy hyperglycemia, OR
2.665 (95% CI 2.022-3.513)
Hypertriglyceridemia, OR
2.022 (95% CI 1.548-2.641)
  • Advanced maternal age and prepregnancy obesity were top predictors

Original publication

Gestational diabetes mellitus recurrence rate and risk factors: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 21 October 2025. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112949

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