Diabetes complications

Fibroblast growth factor 23 predicts incident diabetic kidney disease: A 4.6‐year prospective study

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · Incident DKD per baseline FGF23Result — go to the resultOdds ratio 1.290 95% CI 1.063–1.565

Authors' conclusion

Serum FGF23 level increased at early stages of DKD, and it was an independent predictor of incident DKD, suggesting its potential for early identification of individuals at risk.

Study context

Population
Individuals with diabetes at baseline from a community-based cohort completing a 4.6-year follow-up surveywith diabetes at baseline
Participants
1,614 individuals
Exposure
Baseline serum FGF23 levels and incident diabetic kidney disease (DKD)
Outcome
Incident DKD
Follow-up
4.6-year follow-up
Methodological detailscommunity-based
  • Community-based

Main finding

Incident DKD per baseline FGF23 · 4.6 years

Odds ratio

1.290

95% CI 1.063–1.565

Baseline FGF23
OR 1.290 (95% CI 1.063–1.565)

Per baseline FGF23, as printed

As reported in the abstract

Individuals developing incident DKD
198

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Association by subgroup

Association especially in individuals with BMI <24 kg/m², HbA1c ≥7% and diabetes duration <5 years

Baseline FGF23 across DKD stages

FGF23 elevated early in DKD and increased gradually with progressive DKD stages
P < 0.05
No statistical changes in serum calcium and phosphorus

DKD risk prediction

FGF23 models yielded increments vs traditional DKD risk factors
P < 0.05

Original publication

Fibroblast growth factor 23 predicts incident diabetic kidney disease: A 4.6‐year prospective study. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 3 February 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.16224

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